Showing posts with label progress. Show all posts
Showing posts with label progress. Show all posts

Thursday, January 15, 2009

Population increase: Is it human progress or human failure?

Some are convinced that continuing increases in world population are a human failing that will have disastrous consequences for the future. They believe that major destruction of global life and society will occur. They foresee an apocalypse. You know those movie scenes set in a murky and almost deserted city. Or a barren desert wasteland with occasional life-support oases overrun by despotic criminals preying on the helpless.
At the other extreme, some don't believe there is a problem with overpopulation and don't believe it will lead on to a diminishing quality of life on earth. In a report from the Cato Institute(*) a few years ago, the lead comment was that there 'is no population problem. Population growth is the result of the plunging death rate and increasing life expectancy worldwide. That is progress.' Perhaps the writer was trying to be polemic. Whatever the case, nonbelievers say the problem of population increases will self-correct.
These are two quite different scenarios for the decades ahead -- progress to self-correction or sinking into disaster. Which scenario do you think will take over for life on earth? Notice that even now isolated pockets can be found around the earth for each scenario; that is, areas of population self-correction and also of apocalyptic disaster.
Even if self-correction eventually is the outcome, there are many paths to this outcome? The correction may result through disaster rather than through progress. For example the population might reduce as part of apocalyptic events.
Population correction can be reached by good means and by bad means. A likely bad way is to ignore the population problem and seek no adjustments in human behavior. To use an analogy, do we ignore hungry people because either they will find food or they will go away? Do we say that there is no need to worry about a hurricane, because eventually it will pass?
We should all try to be on a good path to population correction. We should all try to be part of a good solution and not just part of the problem. Our job is to find a good path.