Showing posts with label bubble. Show all posts
Showing posts with label bubble. Show all posts

Friday, January 30, 2009

Collapse of the Population Bubble

We are not yet done with world-wide collapsing bubbles, such as seen in the housing and financial arenas. The warning signs are up about a not-too-distant collapse of the population bubble. This bubble has been apparent in the soaring world population. If the housing bubble and the financial bubble were seismic shocks, the collapse of the population bubble may be an earthquake to rock the world.

The fallout from bursting of the housing and financial bubbles has had major consequences almost everywhere in the world. The insidious nature of these bubbles is that the root causes are difficult to recognize and sort out, even when efforts are taken. Moreover, the timing of collapse is very unpredictable. No one can say for sure what the outcome would have been with the housing and financial collapses if more efforts had been taken to understand and ameliorate the bubbles before the collapse, but in hindsight it seems as though more trying would have been worth the effort.

Of course, not everyone has ignored the population bubble. A little over 20 years ago, (1985) 40 countries gave the United Nations a signed document which said:

"We believe that the time has come now to recognize the worldwide necessity to stop population growth within the near future and for each country to adopt the necessary policies and programs to do so'--provided that those programs are "voluntary' and "maintain individual human rights and beliefs.' The document was from parliamentary heads of state of countries representing more than half of the world's population, including the People's Republic of China, India, Indonesia, Japan, Bangladesh, Nigeria, the Philippines, Thailand, Egypt, South Korea, Morocco and Kenya. The United States did not sign the statement and neither did the majority of developed nations."(*)

Population has continued to increase since this 1985 document, but no one knows when a worldwide population collapse might occur. Tomorrow? 20 years? 40 years? Huge numbers of human lives are at stake in this new bubble, not just homes and livelihood. As with the other bubbles, many people remain in denial. Too many say nothing can be done. Ignoring and denying the problem are the themes of the day in some quarters, with consequences remaining to be reaped.

On the face of it, the population bubble is more complicated than previous bubbles, and resolution after collapse will take much longer than with other bubbles. Resolution will involve the numbers of people living out their life and dying , and numbers of babies being born. Resolution means returning to an earth-sustainable population level. How long before a collapse we don't know. Tomorrow? Decades? A century?

After collapse of a bubble, 'hand-wringing' is customary, and with the current financial collapse is probably appropriate. For example, the following is a quote from Jim Wallis about the financial situation:

"If we learn nothing from this crisis, then all the pain and suffering it is causing will be in vain. But if we can learn new habits of the heart, perhaps that suffering can even turn out to be redemptive."(**)

He is on-point here with what is needed, namely an attitude adjustment to the extent humans may be capable of doing so. This attitude adjustment needs to extend beyond financial and housing concerns to encompass the situation with the population bubble.

Surely humans have the intelligence and the capacity to do something, if their attention can be brought to bear broadly enough. Even so, humans may not have the requisite ability to accomplish any substantive changes before the population bubble collapses. Nevertheless, if enough is said now and parallels with other bubbles are understood, perhaps fewer people will again be able to say 'I didn't believe,' or 'I didn't know,' or 'There was nothing I could do.' Maybe, just maybe, some steps will be taken on a global scale to moderate or reverse population growth before a collapse takes place.

Quotation sources:
(*) http://findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_m1200/is_v128/ai_4009821 (Science News)
(**) Jim Wallis, 01.29.2009; Founder of Sojourners, speaker, author, activist; http://www.huffingtonpost.com/jim-wallis/the-wrong-question_b_162397.html